April 22, 2014 we celebrate Earth Day
again. I thought it might be interesting to review some of the
predictions from past Earth Days.
On the first Earth Day in 1970, here are some profound predictions
that were made. “We have about five more years at the outside to do
something.” Kenneth Watt, ecologist
"Demographers agree almost unanimously on the following grim
timetable: by 1975 widespread famines will begin in India; these
will spread by 1990 to include all of India, Pakistan, China and the
Near East, Africa. By the year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South
and Central America will exist under famine conditions. By the year
2000, thirty years from now, the entire world, with the exception of
Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine."
North Texas State University professor Peter Gunter
“Civilization will end within 15 or 30 years unless immediate action
is taken against problems facing mankind.” George Wald, Harvard
Biologist
"Population will inevitably and completely outstrip whatever small
increases in food supplies we make. The death rate will increase
until at least 100-200 million people per year will be starving to
death during the next ten years." Stanford University biologist Paul
Ehrlich
By 1995 "... somewhere between 75 and 85 percent of all the species
of living animals will be extinct." Sen. Gaylord Nelson
"By 1975 some experts feel that food shortages will have escalated
the present level of world hunger and starvation into famines of
unbelievable proportions. Other experts, more optimistic, think the
ultimate food-population collision will not occur until the decade
of the 1980s." Paul Ehrlich
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Earth Day 2013 - NOAA State of the Climate Report - "All of
those things indicate that the climate system as a whole is
continuing to warm up – and warm up faster as we go along.”
Climatologist
“It’s hard to read the report and not be led to the conclusion that
the task of reducing carbon emissions is now more urgent than ever.”
another Climatologist
"Sea level rising an average of 3.2mm per year"
(0.125984
inches).
"The climate system is not quite so simple as people thought."
Danish environmental analyst Bjorn Lomborg
At least these folks are consistent with their predictions, in spite
of a few facts, such as the earth is not over-populated, with very
few countries producing enough children to replace themselves. In
addition, we are not running out of resources.
History has
proven that Punxsutawney Phil has been more accurate in his
predictions than the "human expert climate predictors."